Bank of Canada Rate Announcement Dec 11th, 2024

Tanya Toye • December 11, 2024

Bank of Canada reduces policy rate by 50 basis points to 3¼%.


FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Media Relations

Ottawa, Ontario

December 11, 2024


The Bank of Canada today reduced its target for the overnight rate to 3¼%, with the Bank Rate at 3¾% and the deposit rate at 3¼%. The Bank is continuing its policy of balance sheet normalization.


The global economy is evolving largely as expected in the Bank’s October Monetary Policy Report (MPR). In the United States, the economy continues to show broad-based strength, with robust consumption and a solid labour market. US inflation has been holding steady, with some price pressures persisting. In the euro area, recent indicators point to weaker growth. In China, recent policy actions combined with strong exports are supporting growth, but household spending remains subdued. Global financial conditions have eased and the Canadian dollar has depreciated in the face of broad-based strength in the US dollar.


In Canada, the economy grew by 1% in the third quarter, somewhat below the Bank’s October projection, and the fourth quarter also looks weaker than projected. Third-quarter GDP growth was pulled down by business investment, inventories and exports. In contrast, consumer spending and housing activity both picked up, suggesting lower interest rates are beginning to boost household spending. Historical revisions to the National Accounts have increased the level of GDP over the past three years, largely reflecting higher investment and consumption. The unemployment rate rose to 6.8% in November as employment continued to grow more slowly than the labour force. Wage growth showed some signs of easing, but remains elevated relative to productivity.


A number of policy measures have been announced that will affect the outlook for near-term growth and inflation in Canada. Reductions in targeted immigration levels suggest GDP growth next year will be below the Bank’s October forecast. The effects on inflation will likely be more muted, given that lower immigration dampens both demand and supply. Other federal and provincial policies—including a temporary suspension of the GST on some consumer products, one-time payments to individuals, and changes to mortgage rules—will affect the dynamics of demand and inflation. The Bank will look through effects that are temporary and focus on underlying trends to guide its policy decisions.


In addition, the possibility the incoming US administration will impose new tariffs on Canadian exports to the United States has increased uncertainty and clouded the economic outlook.


CPI inflation has been about 2% since the summer, and is expected to average close to the 2% target over the next couple of years. Since October, the upward pressure on inflation from shelter and the downward pressure from goods prices have both moderated as expected. Looking ahead, the GST holiday will temporarily lower inflation but that will be unwound once the GST break ends. Measures of core inflation will help us assess the trend in CPI inflation.


With inflation around 2%, the economy in excess supply, and recent indicators tilted towards softer growth than projected, Governing Council decided to reduce the policy rate by a further 50 basis points to support growth and keep inflation close to the middle of the 1-3% target range. Governing Council has reduced the policy rate substantially since June. Going forward, we will be evaluating the need for further reductions in the policy rate one decision at a time. Our decisions will be guided by incoming information and our assessment of the implications for the inflation outlook. The Bank is committed to maintaining price stability for Canadians by keeping inflation close to the 2% target.


Information note

The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is January 29, 2025. The Bank will publish its next full outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, in the MPR at the same time.


Tanya Toye

Mortgage Broker

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Employment and Mortgage Qualification: What Lenders Look For

By Tanya Toye • September 30, 2026
When you apply for a mortgage, your employment history and status carry a lot of weight. Even if you feel secure in your job, lenders need proof that your income is reliable and will continue. To them, your employment status is one of the strongest indicators of whether you can make your mortgage payments long term. Here’s how lenders typically view different employment situations: Permanent Employment This is the gold standard. Once you’ve passed any probationary period and hold permanent status, lenders see you as a lower risk. It shows that your employer is committed to you, and your income is steady. Probationary Periods If you’re still on probation—usually 3 to 6 months, though sometimes longer—lenders may hesitate. That’s because your employer can end your contract without cause during this period. Once probation is over, you’re considered more secure. That said, context matters. If you’ve worked with the same company for years as a contractor and just transitioned into full-time employment, lenders may accept a letter from your employer confirming that probation is waived. Documentation is key here. Parental Leave Being on or about to take parental leave doesn’t mean you can’t qualify for a mortgage. As long as you have a letter from your employer guaranteeing your position and return-to-work date, lenders can use your regular salary—not your leave income—when assessing your application. Term Contracts This is one of the trickiest categories. Even highly skilled professionals with strong incomes can face challenges here. A term contract has a start and end date, which makes lenders question the stability of your future income. To use term-contract income, lenders generally want to see at least two years of history, or proof that your contract has already been renewed. The more evidence you can show of consistent employment, the stronger your case will be. The Bottom Line If you’re planning to apply for a mortgage, it’s important to understand how your employment status could affect your approval. Whether you’re starting a new job, coming back from leave, or working under contract, lenders want documentation that proves your income is reliable. 📞 If you’ve recently changed jobs or are planning a career shift, let’s connect. I can help you prepare your file so you qualify with confidence and avoid surprises in the approval process.

Homeowner Credit is Becoming Part of the Longer-Term Financial Conversation

By Tanya Toye • September 29, 2026
Credit has traditionally been viewed as something you use for a specific purpose: buying a home, financing a major purchase or covering an unexpected expense. But with higher living costs, slower economic conditions and less financial flexibility, credit is increasingly becoming part of a longer-term financial conversation. That doesn’t mean taking on debt indefinitely or relying on borrowing to solve every financial challenge. But it’s important to understand the tools available and the necessity of making thoughtful decisions about when and how credit may fit into your broader financial plan. A Fresh Take on Credit In many ways, households are beginning to approach financial management with more of a business mindset. Businesses regularly evaluate cashflow, consider available sources of financing and balance immediate needs against longer-term objectives. They don’t necessarily borrow simply because credit is available. They consider why they need the funds, what the financing will cost and how it fits into their overall strategy. The same thinking can be useful for homeowners. When household budgets are under pressure, the question isn’t always, “How can I avoid using credit?” It may also be, “What options are available and do any of them make sense for my situation?” That could mean refinancing, consolidating certain debts, using a home equity line of credit or considering another form of financing. The appropriate option depends on your circumstances, objectives and ability to manage the associated costs.  Home Equity May Be Part of the Conversation For homeowners who have built significant equity, your home can represent an important financial resource. That’s one reason I’m seeing more openness to conversations about reverse mortgages. A reverse mortgage isn’t appropriate for everyone, and it shouldn’t be viewed as a simple solution to financial challenges. For the right homeowner and in the right circumstances, however, it may provide access to home equity and improve cashflow without requiring you to sell or move. The important thing is understanding how the option works, what it costs and how it affects your broader financial picture. Credit Requires Discipline Regardless of the type of credit being considered, having a plan is essential. Before taking on additional borrowing costs, it’s worthwhile understanding why you need the funds, how much is appropriate, the overall cost of borrowing and how your longer-term repayment or exit strategy looks. Credit can provide flexibility when financial circumstances are changing. But its value comes from using it intentionally and responsibly – as one part of a larger plan designed to support financial stability and resilience. The goal isn’t simply to borrow more – it’s to understand your options and make credit work within a financial strategy that makes sense for you. Let’s talk about how you may be able to leverage credit to your advantage. Contact Tanya: 604-788-8693 | tanya@tanyatoye.ca